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With just under a week until November 5, attention is focused on seven states likely to decide the 2024 presidential election. Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump will compete in a contest ultimately decided by the Electoral College, requiring 270 votes to win.
About 240 million people are eligible to vote this year, but only a few will likely determine the next president. Experts point to several "swing" states—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—as crucial battlegrounds.
Arizona, which supported Biden in 2020 for the first time since the 1990s, has become a focal point in the immigration debate, especially with recent decreases in border crossings. Trump has criticized Harris’s handling of immigration, promising to implement “the largest deportation operation” if he regains power. The state has also seen contentious debates over abortion access following failed Republican efforts to reinstate a near-total ban.
In Georgia, Trump faces charges of election interference, accused of conspiring to overturn his narrow defeat to Biden. This state has a significant African American population that played a key role in Biden's 2020 victory. Despite some disillusionment among Black voters, the Harris campaign aims to mobilize this demographic.
Michigan has favored the winning candidate in the last two elections and has seen a backlash against Biden's support for Israel amid the Gaza conflict. During the Democratic primary, over 100,000 voters chose “uncommitted,” reflecting calls to halt military aid to Israel. Harris has adopted a firmer stance on this issue, hoping to regain support from Arab American voters.
In Nevada, once solidly Democratic, there are signs of a potential Republican resurgence. Polls show a tightening race, particularly among Latino voters. North Carolina has also become a "toss-up," while both campaigns are heavily focusing on Pennsylvania, where economic issues remain critical.