As Arsenal fans are rapidly realising, any dropped points in a title race feel like the end of the world.

Checking the table after the end of the gameweek and realising that gap isn’t quite as healthy as it was before is a chilling feeling. Particularly with Guardiola’s side the team breathing down your neck.

City over the years have cultivated an aura of inevitability. It’s hard to look at any fixture and genuinely believe they’ll drop points. However, as we can see - they do.

Manchester City have lost 4 league games this season, and drawn a further 4. Their rate of 2.33 points per game would see them hit around 89 points by the end of May. And let’s not forget, Arsenal’s point at Anfield is a point more than they managed.

So let’s strip back the title-race context. Liverpool have been beaten only once at Anfield in the league this season, and Arsenal’s 2 goals were their first conceded in 2023. In isolation, a draw at Anfield is a great result.

Previously, Arsenal had won 7 on the bounce. Typically, Arsenal have set a trend of beating the teams they SHOULD be beating. No team can claim to expect a win at Anfield. Of Arsenal’s remaining 8 games, there are duels with West Ham, Southampton, Forest, and Wolves. You can add dates with an out-of-sorts Chelsea and a home tie with Brighton to this list of games Arsenal SHOULD win. This would bring 91 points.

If Arsenal win the games they SHOULD win, and City maintain their status quo, Arsenal will be champions.

This City team are ruthless, but as Pep himself claims, if they drop points, and Arsenal win the games they SHOULD, they won’t catch Arteta’s men.

Rather than Arsenal hoping for favours, it’s their chasers who should be. If Arsenal can collect those 18 winnable points they will be hard to stop. Add in a win at Newcastle and City would have to be perfect and rely on GD.

Arsenal don’t need to win every game, but just keep on winning the ones they SHOULD.