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A high octane race for 2024 presidential elections in the US between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump has commenced.
So far, it looks like there's no clear leader- at least according to a recent CNN poll conducted by SSRS. The poll reveals Trump holding 49% support among registered voters nationwide.
Harris, on the other hand, is close behind at 46%, a difference within the poll's margin of sampling error.The two are neck-and-neck, which is a shift from earlier CNN polls. Previously, it showed a wider margin between Trump and President Joe Biden. Voters have expressed wide support for Biden's decision to step aside and complete his term. Several Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters have rallied around Harris as the presumptive nominee.
However, there remains a divide on whether the next Democratic candidate should continue Biden's policies or pave a new path. The poll was conducted online on July 22 and 23. It re-engaged registered voters who had participated in CNN's April or June surveys. Both surveys had previously showed Trump leading Biden by six points.
In the Harris-Trump race, Harris retains 95% of Biden's supporters, while Trump retains 92% of his previous backers. Voters who previously favored neither Biden nor Trump are now split 30% for Harris and 27% for Trump, with the remainder undecided or opting out of the election.Notably, the poll also indicates a shift in the motivations of Harris's supporters compared to Biden's supporters.
Half of Harris's backers (50%) express support for her candidacy rather than opposition to Trump, a significant increase from the 37% of Biden supporters who were primarily anti-Trump. Meanwhile, 74% of Trump supporters are voting for him rather than against Harris, up from 66% in June.
His support remains steady among key demographics: 67% of White voters without degrees, 53% of men, and 90% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.
Harris has gained ground in groups crucial for Democratic success. Among voters under 35, Harris now leads Trump 47% to 43%, compared to Biden's previous deficit of 42% to 49%. Black voters support Harris 78% to 15% for Trump, an increase from Biden's 70% to 23%.