There’s no question Donald Trump is surging in the final weeks toward Election Day.  The momentum is clearly on his side, and in key states he must win to get to 270 Electoral votes.  But I’m a bit dubious when pundits on the right start talking again about how much red will color the map come November.  Talk of how Republicans may “sweep” in the Senate toss-up states such as Ohio and Wisconsin.  Talk of how Trump can “roll” in Michigan or dominate in Pennsylvania because of his McDonald’s event, for example.  Yes, he is winning the news cycles on these days, but let’s not forget a fundamental tenet in American politics today – this is a center-left nation.  Politically, socially, religiously…Americans are okay with abortion now (sadly).  They are okay with transgenderism flourishing.  They are okay with more gay pride days/months and celebrations than days honoring our veterans.  These are true cultural shifts.  So to think Trump can easily dominate the electoral map in those states that are far more liberal socially than he and his down-ticket running mates are is to discount all that we have learned just two short years ago.  Remember the Red Wave that would flush out all Dems in 2022?  It wasn’t even close and Dems beat back a major political shift then.  The same could still hold come Election Day. 
 
I would caution pundits on the right to mind their giddiness.  I’m just not seeing the surge they think they are.  This will be a tight race.  It will not be decided on November 5, and far from it.  There will be judicial challenges, and rumors of malfeasance.  It will be messy.  Everyone would do well to brace for that impact. Now just hear me out for a second.